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29 03 11:03
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The EUR/USD pair tried to recover its positions during the Asian trading session after two days at a loss. The latest decline of the pair is mainly attributed to the growth of the US dollar against its major rivals on the back of easing fears of a trade war between the US and China, as sides agreed to discuss further trade terms to avoid further conflict. However, the pair met support on the level of 1.2300 in early Asia and recovered some part of its losses, as investors took some profits off the table, thus pausing greenback upside rally. In the meantime, markets remain in anticipation of the data release from the German labor market, which will be the last market-moving event for the pair ahead of Easter holiday-break.


The GBP/USD pair extends its bearish trend for the third day in a row, paying little attention to overnight downside correction of the greenback. Recent bearish rally of the pair could be associated with the broad demand for the US dollar due to easing fears of a trade war between the US and China. However, recovery in risk-on sentiment across the market may offer some support to the higher-yielding pound. In the day ahead, the UK will release important GDP report, which will be the key event of this day for the pair, while the US economic calendar will remain silent ahead of holidays.


The dollar/yen pair corrects lower this Thursday from its 2-week highs, marked in the vicinity of 107.00. Yesterday’s bullish rally of the pair could be explained by renewed optimism around the US dollar, underpinned by easing tensions between the US and China, as both sides are ready to negotiate further trade terms. Moreover, bloc of positive US macro data, featuring GDP numbers and data from the housing market, also contributed to greenback’s positive tone. However, the pair failed to keep its yesterday’s gains and retreated to the area of 106.50, as investors took some profits off the table after notable bullish rally of the pair, witnessed earlier this week. In absence of any relevant data reports from the US economy, the pair will continue to follow the US dollar price dynamics ahead of Easter holidays.


The AUD/USD pair follows broad market trend and corrects higher after recent downside rally. In Asia, the pair bounced off its 4-month lows, marked on the level of 0.7643, and now is trading with a mild bearish bias, as investors are locking some profits on USD. Recent drawdown of the pair could be explained by increased demand for the US dollar, as the US and China agreed to discuss the situation to avoid further trade war. However, persisting bearish sentiment on the commodity market, especially of the gold and copper, may limit further recovery of the pair. On the data front, nothing important is left in the data calendar for this week, so widespread market sentiment will remain the key navigator for the pair ahead of Easter weekend.


Major events of the day:

German Unemployment Change – 11.55 (GMT +3)

UK GDP – 11.30 (GMT +3

Canada GDP – 15.30 (GMT +3)


Support and resistance levels for the major currency pairs:

EURUSD               S. 1.2220 R. 1.2464

USDJPY                 S. 104.68 R. 108.08

GBPUSD               S. 1.3985 R. 1.4245

USDCHF               S. 0.9410 R. 0.9654

AUDUSD              S. 0.7624 R. 0.7722

NZDUSD               S. 0.7158 R. 0.7300

USDCAD               S. 1.2834 R. 1.2976


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