The EUR/USD pair extends its upside trend, having refreshed its weekly highs in the vicinity of 1.2380, following unchanging market trend. It seems that American bulls have totally lost control over the market, allowing the US dollar to retreat against its major rivals, including the euro. Recent drawdown of the greenback could be partially explained by recent dovish comments of the Fed member J.Powell, who stated that the regulator remains alert to any financial stability risks. Adding to this, ongoing demand for safety could be another supportive factor for the pair this Wednesday. On the data front, today all traders’ eyes will remain glued to the bloc of important US data, featuring highly expected inflation figures, which will be published during NY trades.
The GBP/USD pair remains better bid in the middle of this week, keeping its positions above the level of 1.3900, as the pound is still benefiting from yesterday’s positive British inflation data. Recall, on the last BoE meeting MPC members agreed on the need to implement monetary policy tightening measures, while yesterday’s UK inflation numbers hinted that the regulator could take more aggressive tightening path, which includes several rate hikes this year. However, still persisting risk-off sentiment is negatively affecting higher-yielding assets, and the pound is no exception, thus limiting pair’s further gains. As UK inflation figures have already been digested, now market’s attention shifts towards the US inflation data, which will be able to bring fresh trading opportunities during the NA session.
The dollar/yen pair continues to push its positions to the red territory, having refreshed its 15-month lows at 106.84 spot, despite red numbers of the Japanese GDP report, which was published in Asia. It seems that the US bulls have completely lost control over the market, allowing the pair to retreat to its recent lows. Moreover, widespread risk-aversion continues to dominate the market, boosting demand for safe-haven assets, which is another bearish factor for the pair. However, uncertainty around candidate for the position of the BoJ governor may limit yen’s further gains, as Japanese PM Sh.Abe still hasn’t made a decision of reappointing current head of the regulator H.Kuroda. Recall, it was Mr.Kuroda’s program of quantitative easing that exerted negative pressure on the yen, and fresh view on the economy could positively affect positions of the Japanese currency. On the data front, today all traders’ attention will be focused to the key event of this week – the release of the US inflation report, which will take place during the NA session.
The NZD/USD pair remains one of the top gainers of this Asian trading session, having spiked the level of 0.7300, with a peak, located at 0.7335 spot. Earlier today, the Kiwi received strong bullish impetus following RBNZ’s revision of inflation expectations to the upside. These numbers showed an increase in confidence of the regulator in further healthy growth of the NZ economy. Adding to this, ongoing softness around the US dollar also contributed to pair’s recent upside move. Today, we have important data, scheduled in the US economic calendar, which expectedly will be able to spark volatility around the US dollar during the NA session.
Major events of the day:
US Core CPI – 15.30 (GMT +2)
US Retail Sales – 15.30 (GMT +2)
US Crude Oil Inventories – 17.30 (GMT +2)
Support and resistance levels for the major currency pairs:
EURUSD S. 1.2248 R. 1.2422
USDJPY S. 106.62 R. 109.36
GBPUSD S. 1.3791 R. 1.3973
USDCHF S. 0.9280 R. 0.9432
AUDUSD S. 0.7805 R. 0.7903
NZDUSD S. 0.7210 R. 0.7346
USDCAD S. 1.2534 R. 1.2654
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