24 01 12:01
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Daily economic digest from Forex.ee



The EUR/USD pair shows positive dynamics on Wednesday, having refreshed its multiyear highs at 1.2335 this morning, as US bears the market. The latest weakness of the US dollar is mainly attributed to recent news headlines, saying that the US imposed sanctions on Chinese solar panels and washing machines, while blaming Chine of artificially low-priced export of the technology. Adding to this, ongoing market trend, caused by speculations about convergence between policies of the Fed and major CBs, has additionally gathered pace in wake of upcoming the ECB meeting that in turn is another negative factor for the greenback. Investors are hoping that the EU regulator will provide fresh information about Bank’s further guidance, which was mentioned in the last ECB protocols. And finally, yesterday’s positive EU and German ZEW surveys also offered some support to the common currency, thus accelerating pair’s upside trend. Today all traders’ attention will remain focused on the data from the US housing market, while expected that the weakness of the US dollar will continue to dominate the market during this trading session.


The GBP/USD pair follows broad market trend and once again refreshed its post-Brexit referendum highs in the region of 1.4050 this morning. The renewed upside trend of the pair is mainly explained by broad weakness of the US dollar, sparked by concerns of a breakdown in trade relations between the US and China. Moreover, it seems that ongoing market trend, caused by convergence between policies of the Fed and other major central banks, still remains in play, additionally weighing the US currency against its major rivals. Today we have pretty busy session ahead, as both economies have prepared important data releases, however, expected that US dollar dynamics will continue to dominate the market this Wednesday.


The JPY/USD pair remains under bearish control today, having broken through its key support level of 110.00, despite yesterday’s dovish comments of BoJ Governor H.Kuroda, made during the press conference after the Bank’s meeting. Yesterday the pair came under intense selling pressure following trade action by the US against China, increasing tariffs on imported washing machines and solar panels. This news triggered sharp sell-off of the US dollar across the board, and as a result allowed the pair to refresh its 4-month lows below its psychological level. Today we have important data from the US housing market on the agenda, however, expected that US dollar price dynamics will continue determine pair’s further direction in the middle of this week.


The AUD/USD pair keeps its bid tone at the equator of the week, having returned to the region of its 4-highs, located above the level of 0.8000. The key reason of pair’s recent upside trend remains renewed weakness of the US dollar, caused by increased tension in China-US trade relations. Moreover, sharp drawdown of the US dollar across the market caused breakout of important levels in several majors, such as EUR/USD and USD/JPY, that has additionally intensified sell-off of the greenback. Looking ahead, today the US will offer investors batch of data from the housing market, featuring existing home sales numbers, which will bring fresh trading opportunities during the NA session, however, the US dollar price actions will remain as the key determinant for the pair this Wednesday.


Major events of the day:

Prelim. German Manufacturing PMI – 10.30 (GMT +2)

UK Average Earnings Index +Bonus – 11.30 (GMT +2)

UK Claimant Count Change – 11.30 (GMT +2)

US Existing Home Sales – 17.00 (GMT +2)

US Crude Oil Inventories – 17.30 (GMT +2)

NZ CPI – 23.45 (GMT +2)


Support and resistance levels for the major currency pairs:

EURUSD               S. 1.2191 R. 1.2359

USDJPY                 S. 109.65 R. 111.49

GBPUSD               S. 1.3868 R. 1.4092

USDCHF               S. 0.9525 R. 0.9659

AUDUSD              S. 0.7922 R. 0.8068

NZDUSD               S. 0.7281 R. 0.7399

USDCAD               S. 1.2370 R. 1.2514


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