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11 04 11:04
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Daily economic digest from Forex.ee

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The EUR/USD pair follows broad market trend, advancing for the fourth consecutive session so far on Wednesday, while having refreshed its 2-week highs at 1.2385 spot. The main reason of pair’s recent upside rally could be called ongoing sell-off of the greenback, as US bulls are still unable to recover after disappointing data from the US labor market, seen on Friday. Moreover, yesterday the common currency received additional supportive impetus following hawkish comments of ECB’s board member E.Nowotny, who suggested ECB to end up asset buys by the end of this year. In the day ahead, investors will remain in anticipation of ECB President’s speech, the US core CPI data and FOMC meeting minutes, which will be able to set up pair’s further direction this Wednesday.

 

The GBP/USD pair is trading at a profit for the fourth consecutive day, having refreshed its 2-week highs at 1.4215 level this Wednesday. Seems that broad weakness of the US dollar is still griping the market, remaining the main driving factor for the pair. Moreover, recent hawkish comments from MPC member Ian McCafferty, who offered not to delay raising interest rates amid the strong pickup in the world economy, also helped the pair to keep its bullish momentum. Today we have pretty busy trading session ahead, as the UK will offer us manufacturing production data, while the US have prepared for today the US inflation figures and the Fed minutes, which will expectedly have significant impact on the pair, thus determining its further direction.

 

The AUD/USD pair failed to extend its bullish rally and eased part of its gains, after testing 3-week highs on the level of 0.7769. The main driver for the pair remains easing market interest to higher-yielding instruments, as dust around China’s President Mr.Xi’s speech has been settling down. Adding to this, red numbers of Chinese inflation also negatively affected risk-on sentiment, forcing the pair to retreat from its recent tops. And even hawkish comments from the RBA Governor Ph.Lowe did little to support the pair during the Asian session. However, further downside trend of the pair looks limited on the back of ongoing sell-off of the greenback, which was additionally underpinned by yesterday’s disappointing US PPI report. Looking ahead, today traders’ attention will remain focused on the FOMC minutes and the US CPI report, which both will be published during the NA session and will be able to form pair’s near-term trajectory.

 

The USD/JPY pair remains offered in the middle of this week, getting closer to the level of 107.00, as several factors are weighing the pair. The main reason of pair’s retreat could be called easing risk appetite, as investors have already digested recent talks of the Chinese President, who urged the US to negotiations, while saying that China should push for free trade. Adding to this, ongoing retreat of the US dollar against its major counterparts is another factor that forces that pair to move in southward direction. Meanwhile, today traders will remain in anticipation of the US CPI and Fed minutes release, which will be able to bring fresh trading opportunities during the NA session.

 

Major events of the day:

UK Manufacturing Production – 11.30 (GMT +3)

ECB President M.Draghi’s Speech – 14.00 (GMT +3)

US Core CPI – 15.30 (GMT +3)

US Crude Oil Inventories – 17.30 (GMT +3)

FOMC Meeting Minutes – 21.00 (GMT +3)

 

Support and resistance levels for the major currency pairs:

EURUSD               S. 1.2270 R. 1.2420

USDJPY                 S. 106.28 R. 107.84

GBPUSD               S. 1.4092 R. 1.4228

USDCHF               S. 0.9514 R. 0.9606

AUDUSD              S. 0.7666 R. 0.7816

NZDUSD               S. 0.7273 R. 0.7419

USDCAD               S. 1.2511 R. 1.2751

 

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