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09 02 01:02
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Daily economic digest from Forex.ee

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The EUR/USD pair trades with mild bullish bias at the last trading day of this week, having stalled its recent retreat, on the back of subdued dynamics of the US dollar. Today the key driving factor for the pair remains news coming from the US political area. Earlier today, on the market appeared headlines about another shutdown of the US government. This news negatively affected positions of the US dollar against its major rivals, as it is the second similar incident this year. Moreover, deteriorating investors’ appetite for riskier assets also has somewhat supported the common currency, thus having accelerated pair’s recent rebound. Today, nothing interesting is scheduled in the economic calendar, so broad market trend will continue to determine pair’s further trajectory at the end of this week.

 

The GBP/USD pair remains positive today, again entering the area of 1.4000. Yesterday the pair received notable bullish impetus, following the outcome of the BoE meeting and hawkish comments of Mr.Carney, made during the accompanying press conference. Yesterday the Bank clearly signaled the need to increase the interest rate, which can now happen earlier than forecasted after November meeting. Moreover, during the subsequent press conference, the head of the regulator also noted the need of monetary policy tightening measures, as the UK economy comes in line with Bank’s forecasts that makes markets think about two rate hikes during this year. Regarding hawkish comments, we can outline that Mr.Carney still sees Brexit as a source of uncertainty for the economy. However, the pair failed to keep positions near its yesterday’s highs and trimmed some of its gains, as strong risk-off sentiments negatively affected the pound. Now all traders’ attention remains focused on the bloc of UK releases, featuring manufacturing production data, which is the only market-moving event for today, so the pair will continue to follow broad market trend ahead after data release.

 

The NZD/USD pair has stalled its yesterday’s rebound from its monthly lows, marked at 0.7177 after sharp drawdown following dovish RBNZ meeting’s outcome. Recall, on Wednesday the Kiwi came under strong selling pressure on the back of downgrade of regulator’s projections on inflation and GDP. Moreover, dovish comments of Bank’s authorities also added some negative pressure to the pair. However, the pair managed to correct higher during previous trading session in wake of subdued dynamics of the US dollar. But still the pair continues to stay under moderate pressure this Friday due to persisting risk-off sentiments, which were additionally boosted by weaker-than-expected Chinese CPI data. Looking ahead, today the US calendar will again leave investors without any relevant data release, so the pair will continue to follow broad market trend at the end of this week.

 

The USD/JPY pair found some support in the early Asian session and now again came above the level of 109. However, further upside of the pair looks limited on the back of several factors, which are weighing the pair this Friday. First, better demand for safety, additionally boosted by negative Chinese inflation data, remains supportive for the yen today. Second, sluggish activity of the US dollar in wake of renewed US political drama also negatively affects the pair at the end of this trading week. In the day ahead, the US data calendar won’t surprise traders with any market-moving data releases, so the pair most likely will regain its downside trend on the back of broad market sentiments, backed by strong risk aversion.

 

Major events of the day:

UK Manufacturing Production – 11.30 (GMT +2)

Canada Employment Change – 15.30 (GMT +2)

 

Support and resistance levels for the major currency pairs:

EURUSD               S. 1.2167 R. 1.2333

USDJPY                 S. 107.82 R. 110.24

GBPUSD               S. 1.3719 R. 1.4161

USDCHF               S. 0.9279 R. 0.9509

AUDUSD              S. 0.7732 R. 0.7868

NZDUSD               S. 0.7144 R. 0.7278

USDCAD               S. 1.2520 R. 1.2654

 

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